---
title: "Midlothian 4 repower"
description: "Midlothian 4 repower: 18 MW Gas project in Ellis County, ERCOT NORTH developed by MIDLOTHIAN ENERGY, LLC. Currently No IA; build-chance 14%. Independent ERCOT queue tracking by Matt Prusak."
canonical: "https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/22INR0523"
markdown: "https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/22INR0523.md"
resource_type: "project"
source_report: "July 2026"
generated_at: "2026-08-07T17:27:53.695Z"
license: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
---

# Midlothian 4 repower

Midlothian 4 repower is an ERCOT generation interconnection record identified by INR 22INR0523.

## Current reported project fields

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| INR | 22INR0523 |
| Developer | [MIDLOTHIAN ENERGY, LLC](https://www.ercotqueue.com/developer/midlothian-energy-llc.md) |
| Fuel / technology | Gas / GT |
| Capacity | 18.0 MW |
| County | Ellis County |
| ERCOT zone | NORTH |
| Point of interconnection | 1940 Midlothian ANP 345kV |
| Projected commercial-operation date | 2027-06-03 |
| Reported status | SS Completed, FIS Started, No IA |
| Funnel stage | No interconnection agreement |

County is the public geographic precision used by ERCOTQueue. Map symbols are county-level evidence and are not exact project coordinates.

## Independently derived Build Chance

| Measure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Validation-selected Build Chance | 14% |
| P05 | 7% |
| P50 | 14% |
| P95 | 19% |

### Score factors

| Factor | Percentage-point contribution |
| --- | ---: |
| Stage base rate | +36.1 pp |
| Fuel adjustment | +5.2 pp |
| Developer-history adjustment | 0.0 pp |
| Stage-velocity adjustment | -10.0 pp |
| COD-slippage adjustment | -10.0 pp |
| FIS-progress adjustment | -4.6 pp |
| Capacity adjustment | -2.6 pp |

These factors are ERCOTQueue derivations. The displayed probability is not an ERCOT forecast or an official project status.

## Reported milestones

| Milestone | Date |
| --- | --- |
| screening started | 2021-04-26 |
| screening complete | 2021-07-28 |
| fis requested | 2021-04-21 |

## Observed monthly history

- First seen: 2021-04
- Last seen: 2026-07
- Appearances: 64
- Score-series basis: Monthly points use the as-of seven-factor raw model on the validation-selected raw scale because the current isotonic candidate did not pass the project-purged application guard. The final point is anchored to the published current project score. The series shows trajectory, not a previously published frozen forecast.

The 30 most recent observed changes are shown below. The public JSON contains the complete history.

| Report month | Change | Detail |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 2026-05 | Projected COD | 2026-12-03 to 2027-06-03 (+6 months) |
| 2025-09 | Projected COD | 2026-06-03 to 2026-12-03 (+6 months) |
| 2025-08 | Projected COD | 2026-03-03 to 2026-06-03 (+3 months) |
| 2025-03 | Projected COD | 2025-11-30 to 2026-03-03 (+4 months) |
| 2025-01 | Projected COD | 2025-08-30 to 2025-11-30 (+3 months) |
| 2024-08 | Projected COD | 2025-03-30 to 2025-08-30 (+5 months) |
| 2024-02 | Projected COD | 2024-07-16 to 2025-03-30 (+8 months) |
| 2023-07 | Projected COD | 2024-03-15 to 2024-07-16 (+4 months) |
| 2023-05 | Projected COD | 2023-12-15 to 2024-03-15 (+3 months) |
| 2023-03 | Projected COD | 2023-04-01 to 2023-12-15 (+8 months) |
| 2022-07 | Projected COD | 2022-08-01 to 2023-04-01 (+8 months) |
| 2022-02 | Projected COD | 2022-02-01 to 2022-08-01 (+6 months) |
| 2021-04 | Funnel stage | First observation to No IA |

Complete project-history JSON: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/project_history/22INR0523.json](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/project_history/22INR0523.json)

## Field provenance

- Reported fields: INR, name, developer, capacity, fuel, county, zone, point of interconnection, projected COD, status, and dated milestones.
- Derived fields: funnel stage, COD-delay indicators, Build Chance, factor contributions, and uncertainty range.
- Current project dataset: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json)
- Current flat CSV: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.csv](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.csv)

## Source, citation, and reuse

- Human-readable page: [Midlothian 4 repower](https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/22INR0523)
- Markdown representation: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/22INR0523.md](https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/22INR0523.md)
- Source report: July 2026
- Site refresh: August 2026
- Methodology: [ERCOTQueue methodology](https://www.ercotqueue.com/methodology)
- License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
- Source data (application/json): [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json)

ERCOTQueue distinguishes reported source fields from independently derived analysis. Queue capacity records development and interconnection activity; it does not establish financing, construction, or commercial operation. Build Chance is a research signal, not a guarantee or investment recommendation.