---
title: "Darkwood Solar"
description: "Darkwood Solar: 152 MW Solar project in Comanche County, ERCOT NORTH developed by Mustang Creek Solar, LLC. Currently IA, FIS pending; build-chance 83%. Independent ERCOT queue tracking by Matt Prusak."
canonical: "https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/27INR0049"
markdown: "https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/27INR0049.md"
resource_type: "project"
source_report: "August 2026"
generated_at: "2026-09-08T19:34:08.442Z"
license: "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
---

# Darkwood Solar

Darkwood Solar is an ERCOT generation interconnection record identified by INR 27INR0049.

## Current reported project fields

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| INR | 27INR0049 |
| Developer | [Mustang Creek Solar, LLC](https://www.ercotqueue.com/developer/mustang-creek-solar-llc.md) |
| Fuel / technology | Solar / PV |
| Capacity | 152.0 MW |
| County | Comanche County |
| ERCOT zone | NORTH |
| Point of interconnection | Tap 345KV 1900 Comanche Peak to 1440 Comanche SS |
| Projected commercial-operation date | 2027-09-20 |
| Reported status | SS Completed, FIS Started, IA |
| Funnel stage | Interconnection agreement; FIS pending |

County is the public geographic precision used by ERCOTQueue. Map symbols are county-level evidence and are not exact project coordinates.

## Independently derived Build Chance

| Measure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Validation-selected Build Chance | 83% |
| P05 | 77% |
| P50 | 82% |
| P95 | 87% |

### Score factors

| Factor | Percentage-point contribution |
| --- | ---: |
| Stage base rate | +80.8 pp |
| Fuel adjustment | -0.7 pp |
| Developer-history adjustment | 0.0 pp |
| Stage-velocity adjustment | +5.0 pp |
| COD-slippage adjustment | -2.0 pp |
| FIS-progress adjustment | 0.0 pp |
| Capacity adjustment | -0.3 pp |

These factors are ERCOTQueue derivations. The displayed probability is not an ERCOT forecast or an official project status.

## Reported milestones

| Milestone | Date |
| --- | --- |
| screening started | 2023-06-28 |
| screening complete | 2023-09-01 |
| fis requested | 2023-11-09 |
| ia signed | 2025-11-05 |

## Observed monthly history

- First seen: 2023-11
- Last seen: 2026-08
- Appearances: 34
- Score-series basis: Monthly points use the as-of seven-factor raw model on the validation-selected raw scale because the current isotonic candidate did not pass the project-purged application guard. The final point is anchored to the published current project score. The series shows trajectory, not a previously published frozen forecast.

The 30 most recent observed changes are shown below. The public JSON contains the complete history.

| Report month | Change | Detail |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 2026-08 | Funnel stage | IA + FIS complete to IA signed, FIS pending |
| 2026-03 | Funnel stage | No IA to IA + FIS complete |
| 2025-07 | Projected COD | 2027-01-30 to 2027-09-20 (+8 months) |
| 2023-11 | Funnel stage | First observation to No IA |

Complete project-history JSON: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/project_history/27INR0049.json](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/project_history/27INR0049.json)

## Field provenance

- Reported fields: INR, name, developer, capacity, fuel, county, zone, point of interconnection, projected COD, status, and dated milestones.
- Derived fields: funnel stage, COD-delay indicators, Build Chance, factor contributions, and uncertainty range.
- Current project dataset: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json)
- Current flat CSV: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.csv](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.csv)

## Source, citation, and reuse

- Human-readable page: [Darkwood Solar](https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/27INR0049)
- Markdown representation: [https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/27INR0049.md](https://www.ercotqueue.com/project/27INR0049.md)
- Source report: August 2026
- Site refresh: September 2026
- Methodology: [ERCOTQueue methodology](https://www.ercotqueue.com/methodology)
- License: [CC BY 4.0](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
- Source data (application/json): [https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json](https://www.ercotqueue.com/data/projects.json)

ERCOTQueue distinguishes reported source fields from independently derived analysis. Queue capacity records development and interconnection activity; it does not establish financing, construction, or commercial operation. Build Chance is a research signal, not a guarantee or investment recommendation.